01 
Franzi | Games
Franzi | Games 
24 Feb 2026 | Sportsbetting
Bundesliga matchday prediction 2025/26 – Matchday 24
All predictions for the 24th Bundesliga matchday in 2025/26. From Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich to Bremen vs. Heidenheim. An overview of current form and tips.
approx. 3 min.
Bundesliga matchday prediction 2025/26 – Matchday 24
Matchday 24 is a study in contrasts, pitting teams from opposite ends of the league table against one another. Naturally, all eyes are on the 'Klassiker' between Borussia Dortmund and FC Bayern. While Munich currently holds the advantage, this match remains a massive psychological turning point. Will BVB manage to bridge the gap and reignite the title race, or will Bayern deliver a dominant performance to effectively seal the championship? Meanwhile, the bottom of the table is a desperate fight for survival. With 17th facing 18th, this is a high-stakes 'six-point game' where the margin for error is zero. For both Bremen and Heidenheim, this could be their final opportunity to climb out of the danger zone; it's no longer about pride, but about staying in the league.
Quick-fire tips from Merkur for Bundesliga Matchday 24
Augsburg vs. Köln
Augsburg have finally found some stability in the mid-table following a thrilling, last-minute comeback against Wolfsburg. They now aim to keep that momentum going against the newly promoted Cologne, a result that would provide a safer buffer from the relegation scrap. Cologne, however, are coming off a spirited 2-2 draw with Hoffenheim and are desperate for points to stop their slide down the standings. Expect a tightly contested battle between two very evenly matched sides.
Tip: Draw
Leverkusen vs. Mainz
Leverkusen's impressive winning streak hit a wall after an unexpected loss to Union Berlin, and now the 'Werkself' must prove their resilience at home against Mainz. Under the guidance of Urs Fischer, Mainz have become a tough nut to crack, suffering only one defeat in their last five outings. That said, they've struggled with clinical finishing and discipline recently, which could be their undoing at the BayArena if they make any mistakes against such strong hosts.
Tip: 1
Bremen vs. Heidenheim
It's a high-pressure relegation showdown on the Weser. Werder find themselves in a crisis, having gone 13 matches without a win and sliding further down after a heartbreaking 1-2 loss to St. Pauli. The heat is on for new manager Daniel Thioune, as another loss could be catastrophic. Heidenheim are coming off a chaotic 3-3 draw with Stuttgart—a game where they played well but failed to secure the win. This promises to be a nail-biting encounter where both teams are fighting for their lives.
Tip: 1
Gladbach vs. Union Berlin
While Gladbach are still searching for a spark, Union Berlin arrives with a newfound sense of belief. The 'Foals' are currently enduring a seven-game winless drought, looking timid and lacking an attacking edge during their recent trip to Freiburg. In contrast, Union have shaken off their own poor run with a victory over Leverkusen, proving they have the grit to survive the relegation fight. To win at Borussia-Park, they'll need to maintain that same intensity, defensive compactness, and clinical edge.
Tip: Draw
Hoffenheim vs. St. Pauli
Hoffenheim are looking to bounce back after playing out a 2-2 draw in Cologne. While TSG's attacking quality is evident, their defensive fragility remains a serious liability—a weakness that opportunistic opponents often exploit. St. Pauli, meanwhile, are riding a wave of confidence. Their crucial 2-1 victory over Bremen has pushed the 'Kiezkickers' into a play-off position. They'll head to Sinsheim hoping to leverage that same passion and efficiency to steal more points.
Tip: 1
BVB vs. Bayern
Dortmund remain unbeaten in 15 league games, though they were forced to fight hard in Leipzig, eventually rescuing a point through Fabio Silva. To compete in the upcoming top-of-the-table clash, they need to find a way to be consistent for the full 90 minutes. Bayern arrive in high spirits, despite nearly blowing a comfortable lead in their 3-2 win over Frankfurt. With Harry Kane in lethal form, scoring twice again, their attack is terrifying, even if their defense continues to show cracks.
Tip: 2 + over 3.5 goals
Stuttgart vs. Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart will have plenty to analyze after their wild 3-3 draw with Heidenheim. Hoeneß's men showed great character by recovering from two separate deficits in a game filled with VAR controversy, disallowed goals, and penalties. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, are dealing with a recurring nightmare: after leading 3-2 against Augsburg, they conceded a devastating goal in stoppage time to lose the match.
Tip: 1 + under 3.5 goals
Frankfurt vs. Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt can take some confidence from their 2-3 loss in Munich. After a disastrous start that saw them go 0-3 down, the Hessians fought back bravely to make it a contest. The big question is whether Riera's squad can translate that spirit into their home fixture. Their recent 2-1 win over Gladbach highlighted their growth, specifically their defensive discipline and ability to capitalize on set pieces. Their record of five consecutive home wins is impressive, even if the performances haven't always been seamless.
Tip: Draw
HSV vs. Leipzig
HSV showed they can handle the pressure away from home with a disciplined 1-1 draw in Mainz, where they controlled the tempo and created several clear-cut chances before a deflected free kick secured the draw. Leipzig, conversely, are still feeling the sting of their 2-2 draw with Dortmund. RB dominated the first hour and looked certain of victory at 2-0, only to see the win slip away through an own goal and a late substitute strike.
Tip: 2
Merkur's Bundesliga Forecast: The must-watch games of Matchday 24
The situation on the Weser has reached a breaking point; there are no more excuses left for Werder. After losing a direct clash to St. Pauli 1-2, they've plummeted to 17th place and are enduring a dismal 13-game winless streak. The change in leadership to Daniel Thioune hasn't yet sparked the necessary turnaround. Despite controlling possession against Pauli, they were toothless in attack and suffered a costly goalkeeping blunder. There is a palpable sense of fragility in the squad. Now they face Heidenheim in a critical 'six-point game' that could effectively determine who stays up and who goes down.
Heidenheim are also feeling the heat, but their 3-3 draw with Stuttgart showed they still have fight in them. Frank Schmidt's side led twice and showed a level of aggression that suggests they aren't giving up. After a nine-match winless run, a victory in Bremen would be a massive statement of intent. While they've proven they can score goals, their defensive lapses remain a concern.
Our take: This is a clash between two sides that work hard but struggle to close out games. Expect Bremen to try and bully Heidenheim with high intensity and aggressive pressing at home. Heidenheim, likely, will be happy to sit back and wait for a counter-attack or a set-piece opportunity. With neither team able to afford a loss, the game will come down to who can keep their composure under extreme pressure.Prediction: This is a duel between two teams that invest a lot but repeatedly fail to deliver. Bremen will try to gain control in their own stadium through intensity and early pressing. Heidenheim is likely to lie in wait for counterattacks and set pieces. The same applies to both teams: losing is not an option. Whoever keeps their nerve here can make a real statement in the relegation battle
The 'Klassiker' is always electric, though the stakes feel slightly different this time. Because Dortmund dropped points in Leipzig, the pressure on Bayern has eased. With an eight-point lead, the record champions are in a strong position; even if BVB wins, the gap only shrinks to five. The raw tension of a title-deciding summit has softened slightly.
However, for Dortmund, this is far more than a trophy for the cabinet. Riding a 15-game unbeaten streak, the Black and Yellows want to make a loud statement in front of their own fans. A win here would do more than just add points—it would keep their championship dreams alive and prove they are still legitimate contenders.
Bayern enter the match with plenty of confidence, despite some sloppy moments. They controlled much of their win over Frankfurt, but defensive errors made the finish far more stressful than it should have been. While Kane ensures they remain a lethal threat in the box, their backline is still prone to lapses.
Prediction: Dortmund is fighting for a lifeline, while Bayern is looking to deliver the knockout blow to the title race. That dynamic ensures this match will have the intensity the Klassiker is famous for. That said, Bayern remains the favorite on paper.Prediction: Dortmund is fighting for its last realistic chance at the title, while Bayern is fighting for the final preliminary decision. And that alone is enough to give this classic match the special flavor that has distinguished it for years. Nevertheless, Bayern goes into the game as the favorite.
At Deutsche Bank Park, the stakes go beyond just three points—it's a battle for European spots. Seventh-place Freiburg visits eighth-place Frankfurt, with both teams desperate to leapfrog into sixth for a ticket to international competition. This could be the final chance for either side to make a move before they get stuck in mid-table mediocrity.
Frankfurt showed great resilience in their narrow loss to Munich, fighting back from a significant deficit. That mental toughness should serve them well. However, the game also exposed how they can crumble under sustained pressure, particularly on defensive organization and set pieces. Playing at home, Riera's men need to be more proactive, dictate the play, and be more clinical in the final third.
Freiburg continues to play the game their way—organized, disciplined, and highly effective. Their 2-1 victory over Gladbach wasn't about flashy attacking football; instead, it was a masterclass in composure, where dead-ball situations once again proved to be the difference-maker. The Sport-Club has a knack for grinding out these tight results. Now, sitting on 33 points, they head into their next match with plenty of confidence, aware that another road win would push them further from the relegation zone and put them within striking distance of the league's elite.
Our take: This match is a high-stakes encounter for both sides. A victory keeps the winning team in the race for a European spot, whereas a loss could leave the other side drifting away from those ambitions for the foreseeable future.Prediction: This is a crucial game for both teams. The winner will remain in contention for European competition, while the loser risks falling behind for the time being.
