01 
Franzi | Games
Franzi | Games 
3 Nov 2025 | Sportsbetting
Champions League Matchday Forecast: Matchday 4 2025/26
All predictions for Matchday 4 of the 2025/26 Champions League: current form, background insights, and exciting duels at a glance. Top information on Europe’s elite competition.
approx. 3 min.
Champions League Matchday Forecast: Matchday 4 2025/26
The stakes are rising in the 2025/26 European elite competition. Matchday 4 is set to be a thriller and could significantly alter the group standings. Our latest forecast suggests a mixed bag: while the heavyweights look to cement their lead, several underdogs are poised for a shock result. Manchester City, Bayern Munich, and Inter Milan are cruising through the stages, but storied clubs like Ajax, Leverkusen, and Juventus are still struggling to find their footing. On a brighter note, teams like Eindhoven and Galatasaray have shaken off their early-season nerves and are returning to action with renewed vigor.
Quick Betting Tips from MERKUR for Champions League Matchday 4
SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt
Both squads are desperate to fix their leaking defenses heading into Matchday 4. Following a disastrous outing against Eindhoven, Antonio Conte will be demanding a much more disciplined structure. Similarly, Toppmöller must find answers after that bruising 1:5 loss to Liverpool. That said, Napoli's superior individual talent and the roar of the home crowd give them the upper hand.
Tip: 1 + over 3.5 goals
Slavia Prague vs. Arsenal
While the atmosphere in Prague will be electric thanks to Slavia's legendary fighting spirit, they face a mountain to climb against Arsenal. The Gunners are currently operating at a terrifying level, ruthlessly punishing any single mistake in defense. With a perfect blend of speed and clinical finishing, they are likely to be too much for the Prague side to handle.
Tip: Draw
Paris SG vs. FC Bayern Munich
This is a heavyweight clash. PSG arrives with a lethal attack, having just dismantled Leverkusen. However, Bayern Munich look even more dangerous this year, playing with a level of cohesion and efficiency that is hard to match. Expect a wide-open game, though the German giants hold a slight edge.
Tip: Both teams to score
FC Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Liverpool's 5:1 demolition of Frankfurt was a statement of intent. Unlike Real Madrid, who have been flawless so far, the Reds have already tasted defeat this season. The Spaniards, meanwhile, are riding high after a patient, high-pressure victory over Juventus. If Liverpool can maintain that suffocating tempo at home, they should be able to grind out a narrow win.
Tip: Over 3.5 goals
Juventus Turin vs. Sporting Lisbon
Juventus were defensively rock-solid and dangerous on the break against Real, even if they couldn't find the net. After some stumbling blocks in Serie A, the 'Old Lady' is desperate for a result. They look well-positioned against Sporting, a team that relied heavily on a red card in their last match but struggled to create chances. Juve's veteran composure should be the deciding factor here.
Tip: 1 + under 3.5 goals
Atlético Madrid vs. Union St. Gilloise
Atlético is looking to regain its footing after a bruising 0:4 loss to Arsenal. Expect Simeone to implement a high-pressure game to minimize errors. While Union St. Gilloise showed heart against Inter, they lacked tactical discipline and left too many gaps in the back. The gap in quality suggests a comfortable victory for the Spanish side.
Tip: 1
Tottenham Hotspur vs. FC Copenhagen
This one could be tight. Tottenham looked a bit lost and lacked spark against Monaco, though their defense remained intact. Copenhagen fought hard against Borussia but collapsed entirely in the second half. If Spurs can find their clinical edge at home, they should be able to break through the Danish lines and secure the win.
Tip: 1
Bodo/Glimt vs. AS Monaco
Bodo/Glimt showed plenty of heart, but they were far too slow to react to Galatasaray and lacked a real threat in the final third. Monaco, however, were the dominant force against Tottenham, despite a lack of luck in front of goal. Based on tactical structure and raw quality, Monaco are the clear favorites.
Tip: 2 + over 3.5 goals
Olympiacos vs. PSV Eindhoven
Olympiacos is in a state of crisis following that nightmare collapse against Barcelona—conceding four goals in just eleven minutes is a massive blow. Despite Mendilibar's tactical tweaks, the team looks unstable. In stark contrast, Eindhoven looked untouchable against Napoli, playing a breathtaking brand of one-touch football to win 6:2.
Tip: 2 + over 3.5 goals
Qarabag FK vs. FC Chelsea
Qarabag started the season strongly but crumbled against Bilbao after losing an early lead, exposing flaws in their build-up play. Chelsea, meanwhile, have bounced back from their Bayern loss with a dominant win over Ajax, impressively doing so with a heavily rotated squad. The English side looks far too strong for an away victory.
Tip: 2
Pafos vs. FC Villarreal
Pafos has shown incredible grit, securing their second point of the tournament despite playing with ten men. They are clinical when they get a chance, but they lack creative depth. Villarreal have been underwhelming so far, with heavy losses to Real and Man City highlighting a lack of speed. Still, the individual brilliance of the 'Yellow Submarine' should prevail.
Tip: Both teams to score
Benfica Lisbon vs. Bayer Leverkusen
Benfica is under immense pressure after three winless games. They started boldly against Newcastle but eventually fell apart at the back. Leverkusen is in a similar slump, with their 2:7 thrashing by Paris revealing a chaotic defense. While both teams are desperate, Benfica looks like the more cohesive unit on the counter-attack.
Tip: 1
Manchester City vs. Borussia Dortmund
City continue to look untouchable and dominant, as evidenced by their effortless win over Villarreal. Dortmund will need a flawless performance to keep their momentum going after beating Copenhagen. However, City's ability to control the tempo and their sheer attacking power make them the favorites.
Tip: 2
Inter Milan vs. Kairat Almaty
Inter Milan are firing on all cylinders after a clinical victory over Saint-Gilloise. Despite a slow start and a missed sitter from Esposito, their pace and structure were undeniable. On the other end of the spectrum, Kairat were lifeless in their 0:0 draw with Pafos, lacking any real creative spark. This looks like a one-sided affair.
Tip: 1 + over 3.5 goals
FC Bruges vs. FC Barcelona
Bruges started the tournament well but were completely outclassed by Bayern, with their attack—led by Nicolo Tresoldi—struggling to create anything. Barcelona, meanwhile, were in a different league during their 6:1 rout of Olympiacos, featuring a hat-trick from Fermin and a stellar full debut for Dro. The Catalans are the obvious choice here.
Tip: 1
Marseille vs. Atalanta Bergamo
Marseille is looking for redemption after a tough 1:2 loss to Sporting where they played with ten men. Their defense is holding up, but the finishing has been lacking. Atalanta also struggled to convert chances against Slavia, but they generally look more creative and balanced. Expect a tactical chess match with Atalanta holding a slight advantage.
Tip: 2
Ajax vs. Galatasaray Istanbul
It's been a nightmare campaign for Ajax. A poor opening and a heavy defeat to Chelsea have left the squad lacking confidence. Galatasaray, conversely, have found their stride; Osimhen is in scoring form and the overall team chemistry is clicking. Momentum is firmly on the side of the Turkish club.
Tip: 2
Newcastle United vs. Athletic Bilbao
Newcastle heads back to St. James' Park with high spirits after their first CL win against Benfica, where Barnes proved to be a game-changer off the bench. Bilbao also got a result against Qarabag, but they still struggle to convert their chances. With the home crowd behind them, the Magpies are the favorites.
Tip: 1 + 3.5 goals
